Date of Award


Document Type

Open Access Thesis

Degree Name

Master of Arts in Leadership (MAL)




This research examines the challenge leaders in higher education face as they plan for future enrollment outcomes in a transforming environment marked by changing enrollment patterns. The general principles of strategic planning provide a conceptual framework from which to address the challenges inherent in preparing for an uncertain future. Within this conceptual framework of strategic planning, systems thinking and computer modeling are offered as valuable tools to help enrollment managers effectively address the challenges of enrollment planning. Based on the principles and practices of systems thinking, a computer model outlining the enrollment process is developed. This computer model is used to provide a visual diagram of current enrollment variables and relationships. The model is also used to simulate enrollment outcomes and cast different enrollment scenarios .


SC 11.MAL.1998.Larson.TA